UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays
Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both guys come into this battle career highs. Santos has appeared unstoppable since moving up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz currently rides a dominant four fight win streak. This matchup however appears to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there a few tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with full power and relies on completing competitions. At a five round combat this strategy is a risky one that is going to backfire in the subsequent rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of their own but conserves cardio for a more consistent output. On the feet both guys may get their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz will be very likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is dangerous yet wild and also a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage
goes to Blachowicz on the floor. Since Santos tires that the takedowns will be open and Santos has historically struggled at the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt skills must find Blachowicz a complete when the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the feet Ismagulov is quick with his out and in striking. Defensively he avoids trouble whilst throwing in some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the toes with a riskier design. He keeps his hands low but does throw aggressive combinations. The significant differential lies in the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and is based on high risk submissions off his spine. Against UFC calibre opponents this strategy succeeds. Look for Ismagulovto push his advantage standing and look for trips and takedowns into the mat in which he favours control and top position via ground and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov at 1.34 (-290) chances. Risk 5 Components to acquire 1.70 Units.
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