UFC FN145 Betting Tips & Plays
Jan Blachowicz Breakdown:
Both men come into this fight career highs. Santos has looked unstoppable since going up to light heavyweight, whilst Blachowicz now rides a dominant four battle win streak. This matchup however looks to favour Blachowicz in several ways. Durability and cardio will be a large factor and there a not many tougher than Blachowicz. Santos throws everything with complete power and is based on completing competitions. At a five round combat this approach is a risky one that will backfire in the later rounds. Blachowicz brings stopping power of their own but conserves cardio to get a outcome. On the feet both men may get their moments, but the precise jab of Blachowicz is likely to trigger Santos problems. His boxing is reckless yet wild and a straight jab is one of the best counters to looping hooks. The largest advantage goes
to Blachowicz on the floor. As Santos tires the takedowns will be open and Santos has struggled in the grappling department. The BJJ black-belt abilities must find Blachowicz a finish once the opportunity presents.
Bet = Blachowicz in 2.00 (+100) odds. Risk 3 Units to win 3.0 Units.
Damir Ismagulov Breakdown:
Ismagulov welcomes the UFC newcomer in what should be a one sided affair. On the toes Ismagulov is quick with his in and out striking. Defensively he averts trouble whilst throwing some gaudy strikes to keep opponents guessing. Alvarez appears thinner on the toes using a riskier style. He keeps his hands but does throw aggressive combinations. The major differential lies in the grappling section. Alvarez has not shown good takedown defense on the regional landscape and is based on high hazard admissions off his back. This strategy seldom succeeds. Search for Ismagulov to push his edge standingand search for trips and takedowns to the mat where he favours top and control position through floor and pound.
Bet = Ismagulov in 1.34 (-290) odds. Risk 5 Units to acquire 1.70 Units.
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